Every week between now and then matters as the potential picks jockey for the pole position.
Already this week we have a joint op-ed by Biden and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren blasting Trump for his alleged disinterest in oversight.
And unlike the previous stimulus packages passed by Congress to deal with the coronavirus epidemic, this one is already bogged down in partisan fighting.
So, the battle lines have been drawn. And neither side looks willing, at least in the near term, to compromise. Which means state and local governments — already struggling to stay afloat — may get caught in the partisan crossfire.
3. The Georgia petri dish: Republican Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp’s deeply controversial decision at the end of April to reopen his state’s economy despite the fact that it had not met the federal guidelines for reopening is now 10 days old.
If the situation in Georgia goes bad, it suggests that similar results could follow in the slew of other states that have reopened. And that would not only be a public health nightmare but a political one too for Trump.
2. Trump’s increasingly erratic behavior: When President Trump feels as though things aren’t going his way, he reacts like a cornered animal: He attacks, attacks, attacks.
* Polls — “Fake” and otherwise
* The media as “Chinese puppets”
* “RIGGED Elections”
* A video of Mike Tyson sparring
* Missing campaign rallies
* The coronavirus “cure” being worse than the “problem”
* George W. Bush not defending him during impeachment
* His golf course in Scotland
Now, imagine literally ANYONE you know sending these same tweets in a single morning. And if they did, what you might think. You’d be worried, for sure. Heck, you might even reach out to make sure everything is OK.
When it is the President of the United States flailing about so wildly — amid a pandemic that has already sickened more than 1 million people and killed nearly 67,000? Whoa boy.
I’ve written before that this is all to be expected. As the election draws closer and if polling — real polling — continues to suggest that Trump is an underdog against Biden, his tendencies toward scapegoating and lashing out will only intensify. He will be even more willing — if that’s possible — to say or do anything to reverse his fortunes.
We are six months out from the November election. While it seems amazing, we may well look back at Trump’s mindset at this moment as the start of the really bad stuff, not its end.
1. Did Biden do enough?: For once, the biggest 2020 storyline of the week isn’t about Trump. It’s his general election opponent who’s in the spotlight, as allegations of sexual assault from a former Senate staffer named Tara Reade still linger.
These set of realities have not been changed by Biden’s complete denial. All we have now is Biden’s side saying one thing and Reade’s saying the other. Both can’t be true. But we may never know which one is.
The big question now for Biden and Reade is whether the public is satisfied with his denial. Or whether these lingering questions demand a deeper look.
“This is a start, but it does not go far enough. Any serious inquiry must include the trove of records from Mr. Biden’s Senate career that he donated to the University of Delaware in 2012.”
Biden has insisted those records have no personnel files and are therefore irrelevant. Does the public agree? Has Biden shut down this story? Or simply finished the first chapter?